Friday, November 12, 2004

Of course, I have a lot of theories on poker. My number one theory here lately, and one that seems to be winning me some money, is to bet an amount of money that is precisely enough so that you don't have to give a shit whether your opponents call or fold. If you have a hand that will win seventy percent of the time, bet enough that they'll fold thirty percent of the time, and call the other seventy percent of the time. That way you win more forty-nine percent of the time, get folded to thirty percent of the time, and lose only 21 percent of the time. That cuts a lot of the bullshit out of it. The only thing is when you are 100% guaranteed to win, and have to figure out exactly enough to raise to get maximum value, without going over the magical, make-him-fold number. I was doing my best to draw out a call when I had that nut flush against Larry. I was trying to act nervous like I was bluffing. I was trying to make sudden movements. It was crazy. I usually don't do much acting. I find I'm not very good at it, as the last few years have been spent nullifying any emotional response at the table one way or the other.

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